A
t today’s auto shows, electric
cars now sit alongside hybrids
and fuel-cell vehicles. Yet no
4 H E 0 R O S P E R I T Y % X P O
proposed technology has a clear lead.
The market reflects continuing uncer- 8 I P 4 B Z T . P O F Z % P F T O h U ( S P X P O 5 S F F T C
tainty as the world’s energy picture
evolves in response to society’s rapid
- F B S O I P X U P C F B
and profound changes. With the twin 8 * / / & 3 J O B O Z F D P O P N Z
specters of climate change and peak oil
prices, the 21st century is of necessity
" - J G F $ I B O H J O H
8 F B M U I # V J M E J O H
" D U J P O 1 B D L F E & W F O UC
a time of pivotal decisions by govern-
ments everywhere and by us, as global
0 D U P C F S
citizens.
) J M U P O ' U - B V E F S E B M F " J S Q P S U
GLobaL Do-oVER
( S J ó O 3 P B E
B N Q NC # P C - P S B M + P I O . J L F
Energy experts concur that we cannot
# V S H - B O H F N F J F S % J - F N N F + B S W J T
continue to burn fossil fuels—coal, oil
and natural gas—at our current, accel-
" U 5 I F 1 S P T Q F S J U Z & Y Q P Z P V X J M M M F B S O W B M V B C M F U P P M T B O E U F D I O J R V F T B O E E J T D P W F S S F T P V S D F T U I B U
X J M M F N Q P X F S Z P V U P T U B O E U B M M
T U S P O H B O E V O X B W F S J O H B T U I F X J O E T P G D I B O H F D P O U J O V F U P C M P X C C
erating pace. Partly because significant
populations in China and India are
1 S P W F O 4 Z T U F N T B O E 4 U S B U F H J F T G S P N 5 P Q ' J O B O D J B M
# V T J O F T T B O E 4 V D D F T T & Y Q F S U T
( J W F : P V U I F i 4 F D S F U 8 F B Q P O T w U P $ S F B U F " C V O E B O D F J O " M M " S F B T P G : P V S - J G FC
starting to drive private automobiles,
world consumption of oil is growing an " S F B T P G ' P D V T
average of 1 percent a year (down from
' J O B O D J B M & E V D B U J P O & Y Q P T F U I F 4 F D S F U T U P $ S F B U J O H - P O H 5 F S N 8 F B M U I
2 percent, when oil was cheaper).
1 F S T P O B M ( S P X U I 4 F M G . B T U F S Z $ S B D L U I F $ P E F U P : P V S % / " G P S . B Y J N V N 3 F T V M U T
In 2007, the world consumed
1 P X F S G V M 3 F M B U J P O T I J Q T 6 O M P D L U I F , F Z T U P % F W F M P Q J O H 1 S P ñ U B C M F
85.7 million barrels of oil. The U.S.
- P O H - B T U J O H 3 F M B U J P O T I J Q T>
Department of Energy (DOE) pre-
dicts that, given current projections,
" S F Z P V 3 F B E Z U P & Y Q M P E F : P V S # V T J O F T T 4 I P X D B T F : P V S # V T J O F T T " U 5 I F 1 S P T Q F S J U Z & Y Q P
$ P O U B D U * O G P ! 5 I F 1 S P T Q F S J U Z & Y Q P D P N G P S & Y I J C J U P S 1 S J D J O H B O E 1 B D L B H F T
by 2030, that number will jump to
118 million barrels per day. Oil prices
5 * $ , & 5 1 3 * $ & 4 " D U / 0 8 U P ( F U & B S M Z 3 F H J T U S B U J P O % J T D P V O U B O E $ S F B U F : P V S 1 S P T Q F S J U Z
are expected to stay high, simply
CC
O E U J D L F U ( S P V Q T P G P S N P S F F B D I U I S P V H I
CC
O E U J D L F U C
O E U J D L F U
because demand will continue to grow
C
O E U J D L F U % P P S 1 S J D F C
O E U J D L F U C
faster than accessible supply.
7 * 1 6 Q H S B E F G P S
J O D M V E F T M V O D I B O E H V B S B O U F F E 7 * 1 T F B U J O H J O ö S T U S P X TC
Even if we uncovered new oil
' P
C
S 3 F H J T U S B U J P O * O G P S N B U J P O H P U P X X X 5 I F 1 S P T Q F S J U Z & Y Q P D P N $ B M M
reserves, the phenomenon of global
warming dictates the need for a green
energy revolution if we are to survive cleaner air, cleaner water and energy concentrations in the atmosphere be-
and thrive. As a world leader in climate independence.” low the tipping point of 350 parts per
science, NASA’s Dr. James Hansen has But how are we going to get there? million. We could hold that line, his
called for a moratorium on construc- Civilization is seriously addicted to group says, by “building solar arrays
tion of coal-fired power plants, the oil and coal, and set to compete for instead of coal plants… planting trees
number-one source of carbon dioxide remaining deposits. A rising corps of instead of clear-cutting rainforests…
(CO2) emissions, and a phase-out of politicians and activists, however, are increasing efficiency and decreasing
existing plants over the next 20 years. campaigning for international agree- our waste.”
He’s among those also calling for a ments that would put the world on a Fred Krupp, executive director of
new energy economy. different path. the New York-based Environmental
“Moving beyond fossil fuels,” as Environmental writer Bill McKib- Defense Fund, not only is calling for a
sources for commercial and ben has founded
350.org, an organi- sharp reduction in fossil fuel consump-
residential energy, he says, zation dedicated to reducing overall tion, he has a blueprint for how na-
“makes enormous sense emissions and tions and their citizens can make that
for many reasons— holding CO2 happen, starting today.
October 2008 37
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