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alternative – have significantly affected demand in the industry.
The International Stainless Steel Federation reports a fall in the
....
ratio from 71% in 2001 to 65% in 2006.
Stainless producers pass on changes in raw material prices to
their customers via the alloy surcharge mechanism. As this
charge is normally based on the average monthly price in the
two months prior to physical delivery by the stainless mills to
the customer, there will be a sharp (albeit temporary) drop in
21-22 November 2007
stainless demand as customers wait for the price correction to
Business Design Centre, London, UK
work through and correct the stainless price. This, coupled with
the high level of stocks built-up over the last year, will lead to
slow growth in stainless output this year, and consequently
Now in its fifth year, Mines and Money is
reduce nickel demand.
Further pressure will be put on the austenitic ratio by several
firmly established as the biggest mining and
big announcements about substitution – such as that from
finance event in Europe and is one of the
Ningbo Huaguang Stainless in China that it is shortly to com-
mence manufacture of a new stainless variant, due to contain
most exciting and best-connected events in
still less nickel than some existing grades. Outokumpu in Europe
the world.
has also said that it intends to ramp up ferritic production at its
Tornio works in Finland – a decision, it says, based principally on
g51 Over 180 exhibitors
the clear market shift away from austenitic – a clear concern for
the long-term future of the nickel market.
g51 3,000+ visitors: senior
Meanwhile, the increase in volume of LME nickel inventories
investors, bankers,
has been quite modest given the slackened demand. This raises analysts, mining
the question of whether off warrant stocks have been built up,
and exploration
which from a fundamental standpoint also suggests scope for
managers, geologists &
further price weakness. NCM therefore projects an annual price
of US$37,000/tonne for 2007, falling to US$27,000 in 2008.
consultants
g51 Compelling
investment cases
Copper
Copper’s June price correction to US$7,260/tonne has not
presented at the
prevented a steady increase, once again breaching the
Investor Forum
US$8,000/tonne mark. Supply tightness continues to drive the
g51 Key experts
performance of copper, with LME stocks reaching 97,550
tonnes on July 12
th
– the lowest level since July 2006 and 55%
discuss the critical
below the 2007 high so far this year (216,100 tonnes on
issues shaping the
January 31
st
). Strike action has been a major contributing fac- industry’s future
tor – particularly in Australia (which, with China, was responsi-
g51 Hospitality drinks and
ble for around 55% of the total production of concentrate in
networking receptions
2006) – with continued bouts reinforcing the necessity for a dis-
g51 The Awards
ruption allowance in supply projections. Affected operations
include Collahuasi, First Quantum and CCR.
Dinner celebrates
outstanding mining
Supply problems ... have been cancelled out by
achievements in the
relatively weak global demand [copper] industry globally
These problems, and concentrate shortages (reflected by low
treatment charges) have been, to a large extent, cancelled out by
Platinum sponsors:
relatively weak global demand. European demand over January-
April looks to have risen 0.8%, but is now showing seasonal
decline. The US has been lacklustre at best, whilst Japan, South
Korea and Taiwan have remained roughly in step with their 2006
figures. China’s strong purchasing in the early part of the year is
now taking its toll, as the State Reserve Board and consumers
have built up their inventories. However, the recent months have
shown a downturn, with a considerable 37% decline from April
to May, followed by June easing a further 6.1% from May.
Furthermore, substitution is a growing concern, especially in For further information or to register
the plumbing sector. However, demand seems sure to pick up,
visit www.minesandmoney.com
or email melina.day@mining-journal.com
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